Monday, August 23, 2010

ECONOMY - Small Investors Stop Gambling

"In Striking Shift, Small Investors Flee Stock Market" by GRAHAM BOWLEY, New York Times 8/21/2010

Excerpt

Renewed economic uncertainty is testing Americans’ generation-long love affair with the stock market.

Investors withdrew a staggering $33.12 billion from domestic stock market mutual funds in the first seven months of this year, according to the Investment Company Institute, the mutual fund industry trade group. Now many are choosing investments they deem safer, like bonds.

If that pace continues, more money will be pulled out of these mutual funds in 2010 than in any year since the 1980s, with the exception of 2008, when the global financial crisis peaked.

Small investors are “losing their appetite for risk,” a Credit Suisse analyst, Doug Cliggott, said in a report to investors on Friday.

One of the phenomena of the last several decades has been the rise of the individual investor. As Americans have become more responsible for their own retirement, they have poured money into stocks with such faith that half of the country’s households now own shares directly or through mutual funds, which are by far the most popular way Americans invest in stocks. So the turnabout is striking.

So is the timing. After past recessions, ordinary investors have typically regained their enthusiasm for stocks, hoping to profit as the economy recovered. This time, even as corporate earnings have improved, Americans have become more guarded with their investments.

“At this stage in the economic cycle, $10 to $20 billion would normally be flowing into domestic equity funds” rather than the billions that are flowing out, said Brian K. Reid, chief economist of the investment institute. He added, “This is very unusual.”

The notion that stocks tend to be safe and profitable investments over time seems to have been dented in much the same way that a decline in home values and in job stability the last few years has altered Americans’ sense of financial security.

“Losing their appetite for risk,” finally! Wall Street is one of the world's biggest gambling casinos, and just like Las Vegas, it is rigged for the "house." Wall Street bets that a company, or other financial instrument (no matter how complex, like Derivatives), will always make a profit which is NOT true.

Professional gamblers tell us, "if you cannot afford to loose, don't gamble." The Gambling Addict is one who continues to bet even when he/she cannot afford it. There is NO "safe bet."

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