Monday, February 20, 2017

TRUMP AGENDA - Ukraine Sanctions Plan or Giveaway?

"Advisers develop plan for Russia, Ukraine" by MEGAN TWOHEY & SCOTT SHANE, San Diego Union-Tribune 2/20/2017

NOTE:  This is from the online version of the newspaper, therefore no article link.

Trump associates forge proposal to solve conflict between nations

A week before Michael Flynn resigned as national security adviser, a sealed proposal was hand-delivered to his office, outlining a way for President Donald Trump to lift sanctions against Russia.

Flynn is gone, having been caught lying about his own discussion of sanctions with the Russian ambassador.  But the proposal, a peace plan for Ukraine and Russia, remains, along with those pushing it: Michael Cohen, the president's personal lawyer, who delivered the document; Felix H. Sater, a business associate who helped Trump scout deals in Russia; and a Ukrainian lawmaker trying to rise in a political opposition movement shaped in part by Trump's former campaign manager Paul Manafort.

At a time when Trump's ties to Russia, and the people connected to him, are under heightened scrutiny — with investigations by U.S. intelligence agencies, the FBI and Congress — some of his associates remain willing and eager to wade into Russia-related efforts behind the scenes.

Trump has confounded Democrats and Republicans alike with his repeated praise for the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, and his desire to forge a U.S.-Russian alliance.  While there is nothing illegal about such unofficial efforts, a proposal that seems to tip toward Russian interests may set off alarms.

The amateur diplomats say their goal is simply to help settle a grueling, three-year conflict that has cost 10,000 lives.  “Who doesn't want to help bring about peace?” Cohen asked.

But the proposal contains more than just a peace plan.  Andrey Artemenko, the Ukrainian lawmaker, who sees himself as a Trump-style leader of a future Ukraine, claims to have evidence — “names of companies, wire transfers” — showing corruption by the Ukrainian president, Petro Poroshenko, that could help oust him.  And Artemenko said he had received encouragement for his plans from top aides to Putin.

“A lot of people will call me a Russian agent, a U.S. agent, a CIA agent,” Artemenko said.  “But how can you find a good solution between our countries if we do not talk?”

Cohen and Sater said they had not spoken to Trump about the proposal, and have no experience in foreign policy.  Cohen is one of several Trump associates under scrutiny in an FBI counterintelligence examination of links with Russia, according to law enforcement officials; he has denied any illicit connections.

The two others involved in the effort have somewhat questionable pasts: Sater, 50, a Russian-American, pleaded guilty to a role in a stock manipulation scheme decades ago that involved organized crime.  Artemenko spent 2 1/2 years in jail in Kiev in the early 2000s on embezzlement charges, later dropped, which he said had been politically motivated.

While it is unclear if the White House will take the proposal seriously, the diplomatic freelancing has infuriated Ukrainian officials.  Ukraine's ambassador to the U.S., Valeriy Chaly, said Artemenko “is not entitled to present any alternative peace plans on behalf of Ukraine to any foreign government, including the U.S. administration.”

At a security conference in Munich on Friday, Poroshenko warned the West against “appeasement” of Russia, and some U.S. experts say offering Russia any alternative to a 2-year-old international agreement on Ukraine would be a mistake.  The Trump administration has sent mixed signals about the conflict in Ukraine.

But given Trump's praise for Putin, John Herbst, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, said he feared the new President might be too eager to mend relations with Russia at Ukraine's expense — potentially with a plan like Artemenko's.

The FBI is reviewing an unverified dossier, compiled by a former British intelligence agent and funded by Trump's political opponents, that claims Cohen met with a Russian representative in Prague during the presidential campaign to discuss Russia's hacking of Democratic targets.  But the Russian official named in the report told The New York Times that he had never met Cohen.  Cohen insists that he has never visited Prague and that the dossier's assertions are fabrications.

Cohen has a personal connection to Ukraine: He is married to a Ukrainian woman and once worked with relatives there to establish an ethanol business.

Before entering politics, Artemenko had business ventures in the Middle East and real estate deals in the Miami area, and had worked as an agent representing top Ukrainian athletes.  Some colleagues in Parliament describe him as corrupt, untrustworthy or simply insignificant, but he appears to have amassed considerable wealth.

He has fashioned himself in the image of Trump, presenting himself as Ukraine's answer to a rising class of nationalist leaders in the West.  He even traveled to Cleveland last summer for the Republican National Convention, seizing on the chance to meet with members of Trump's campaign.

“It's time for new leaders, new approaches to the governance of the country, new principles and new negotiators in international politics,” he wrote on Facebook on Jan. 27.  “Our time has come!”

Artemenko said he saw in Trump an opportunity to advocate a plan for peace in Ukraine — and help advance his own political career.  Essentially, his plan would require the withdrawal of all Russian forces from eastern Ukraine.  Ukrainian voters would decide in a referendum whether Crimea, the Ukrainian territory seized by Russia in 2014, would be leased to Russia for a term of 50 or 100 years.

The Ukrainian ambassador, Chaly, rejected a lease of that kind.  “It is a gross violation of the constitution,” he said in written answers to questions from The Times.  “Such ideas can be pitched or pushed through only by those openly or covertly representing Russian interests.”

The reaction suggested why Artemenko's project also includes the dissemination of “kompromat,” or compromising material, purportedly showing that Poroshenko and his closest associates are corrupt.  Only a new government, presumably one less hostile to Russia, might take up his plan.

Sater, a longtime business associate of Trump's with connections in Russia, was willing to help Artemenko's proposal reach the White House.

Trump has sought to distance himself from Sater in recent years.  If Sater “were sitting in the room right now,” Trump said in a 2013 deposition, “I really wouldn't know what he looked like.”

But Sater worked on real estate development deals with the Trump Organization on and off for at least a decade, even after his role in the stock manipulation scheme came to light.

Cohen said he was waiting for a response to the proposal when Flynn was forced from his post.  Now he, Sater and Artemenko are hoping a new national security adviser will take up their cause.  On Friday the President wrote on Twitter that he had four candidates for the job.

They trekked to Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida for in-person interviews this weekend.  They were: Army strategist Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster, former United Nations Ambassador John Bolton, acting national security adviser Keith Kellogg, and West Point superintendent Lt. Gen. Robert Caslen.

Officials said it was possible others could be added to the list, and candidates could return for follow-up interviews today.  One name that had been floated was ruled out: former CIA Director David Petraeus.

“I have many, many that want the job,” Trump insisted this weekend as he promised reporters a decision within days.

Trump's initial choice, though, retired Navy Vice Adm.  Robert Harward, has already turned him down.

Harward, a onetime Navy SEAL who is a senior executive at Lockheed Martin, has cited family and financial considerations in turning down the job.  But news reports suggested that Harward rejected the post because he feared insufficient control over key staffing decisions, including the right to choose his own deputy.

Twohey and Shane write for The New York Times.  The Los Angeles Times contributed to this report.

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