Showing posts with label sanctions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sanctions. Show all posts

Monday, February 28, 2022

OPINION - Brooks and Capehart 2/25/2022

"Brooks and Capehart on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Biden’s Supreme Court nominationPBS NewsHour 2/25/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  New York Times columnist David Brooks and Washington Post columnist Jonathan Capehart join Judy Woodruff to discuss the week in politics, including Russia's invasion of Ukraine and President Biden’s selection for the U.S. Supreme Court.

Judy Woodruff (NewsHour):  With the world's eyes on Ukraine, and President Biden moving forward on his pick for the U.S. Supreme Court, we turn to the analysis of Brooks and Capehart.

That's New York Times columnist David Brooks and Jonathan Capehart, columnist for The Washington Post.

Very good to see both of you.  Thank you for being here on this Friday night.

We're going to talk about Ukraine in just a minute.

But, David, I want to start with President Biden's choice of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson for the court.  What did you make of his choice of her?

David Brooks, New York Times:  She seems great.

What you want on the court is someone with a lot of intellectual firepower, but without intellectual arrogance.  And she seems to have that.  As Marcia and others mentioned before, she has the defender.  She was a regular old judge on — with real trials, not just a fancy appellate judge.

So, she has been in the trenches.  She seems like just a wonderful person.

I read a very good story in The 19th about four friends — or three friends she had starting at freshman year in Harvard.  These were four Black women who entered Harvard together.  They roomed together.  They were sisters together.  All four of them went to Harvard Law together.  And, since then, they have been in each other's weddings, they have been at each other's childbirths.

And what they describe, her three friends describe about her, is someone who's the social organizer, someone who early on said, I'm going to take up a lot of space.  I'm going to make my point of view known.

And I think one of them early in college said, you know, you're going to be on the Supreme Court one day.

So, if she could see it that early, maybe she's fit to be there.

Judy Woodruff:  Jonathan, what's your take on her?

Jonathan Capehart, Washington Post:  Well, she's definitely fit to be there.

I didn't read the story you read David, in The 19th.  I read this big profile of her online in The Washington Post.  And what came — the four women were also featured in that profile.  But what I got from that was a woman and a lawyer and now a judge who is and has been pragmatic on the bench.  Sure, she follows the law and she's grounded in her belief in the law and belief that the law should be meted out equally.

And throughout her career at Harvard, both undergrad and law school, when she — there were moments when other Black students were looking to protest X, Y, or Z, sometimes, she participated.  Other times, she didn't.  And the reason why she didn't was because she thought it was more important that she be in class and prove folks wrong.

And I'm thinking about a situation where, at Harvard, someone in her dorm unfurled a Confederate Battle Flag out the window.  And, initially, she did protest, but she told her friends, look, one of the things they want us to do is to not focus on our classes.  And if we don't focus on our classes, we flunk out, thereby proving to them, at least, that we don't belong here.

So, I think what President Biden has done was nominate someone who is coming to the bench, as David said, with intellectual firepower, but also someone who's going to be somebody who tries to bring the liberal and the overwhelming conservative majority together on some of the key issues that are coming up before the court even after she's confirmed.

Judy Woodruff:  And, David, how do you see her potential effect on the court?

We're starting to hear some Republicans raise objections, questions about her.  Mitch McConnell is one of them.  But what do you think lies ahead, if she's confirmed?

David Brooks:  Well, she's — there are nine personalities on the court.  And so each personality adds something to the little family drama there, they have there.

My impression of the court has always been, they find ways to get along.  And — but bringing in a new personality will widen the perspective of the court, will bring a new set of perspectives, a new lived set of experiences.  It can't help but have a humanizing aspect.

Ideologically, there are all these rating systems that rate judges on how liberal or how conservative they are.  She's pretty much in the mainstream of Democratic nominees.  One of the rating systems I saw put her slightly to the right of Elena Kagan.  Another put her a bit to the left.  But she's very much in the mainstream of a Democratic nominee.

And she's obviously replacing a Democratic nominee, so, as Marcia Clark said earlier today, that it's probably not going to alter the ideological balance, but it'll widen the human aperture.

Judy Woodruff:  And, Jonathan, how do you see her fitting in?  And how do you read the coming Republican opposition?

Jonathan Capehart:  Well, I think she will fit in just fine, considering she's been on the bench for a few years now, and folks love her.

When it comes to the Republican opposition, the idea — I can't remember which Republican member of Congress said this — that she's some left-wing radical, it's just sort of — that would have been branded on to any — whoever the President named.  It just now happens to be Judge Jackson.

I think that, if Republicans stick to substantive criticisms of Judge Jackson, either her record or rulings or cases, they will be fine.

But the moment they stray into the territory that Senator Kennedy of Louisiana did by saying he hoped the President would choose someone who could tell the difference between a J. Crew Catalog and a law book; or another member of Congress who said before even a person was named that, no matter what, that the President was making an affirmative action hire, if they go down that route, they should be prepared for withering criticism.

And, also, Republican leaders, those who say that they're Republican leaders, should be prepared to condemn those folks, because there is no question that Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson is qualified to be on the court, should be on the court, and is not some radical, but, as David said, is in the mainstream of American political thought and life.

Judy Woodruff:  So, now we turn to the thing that we have all been, I guess, fixated on for the last several days.

The last time I talked to the two of you, last Friday, the Russians hadn't begun their attack, their assault on Ukraine.

But, David, now they have.  This, I think, is the first time in modern memory that we have been able to watch a war unfold, one country attacking another in real time on television and social media and the rest of it.

But what do you make of what Russia has done and is doing so far?

David Brooks:  Well, I'm just impressed by the Ukrainian people.  I'm impressed by the Russian people who are on the streets protesting.

But the Ukrainian people are facing very long odds.  And they seem to be facing them with resolve and sometimes heroic self-sacrifice.  And I'm just — my hat is off, and my eyes of admiration are for them.

I think we're entering another era.  We were blessed to live for many years, probably all of our lives so far, in this era of rules.  We may be ending that era and reentering an era of great power rivalries, such as we saw in the 17th century and the 18th century and the 16th century and the 15th century.

And it's just not pleasant to live in those eras, because nobody is secure.  Vladimir Putin only thrives in areas where nobody is secure.  And so we may be, with Russia, with China, defending Taiwan, we may be one great power forever after, or least for a long time after, engaged in constant struggles to head off authoritarian tyranny.

And that will involve different defense budgets.  It will involve electing different sorts of people to be our leaders.  It will involve a much more bloody and much less pleasant way to live in a set of mutual democracies.

Judy Woodruff:  It's hard to watch, isn't it, Jonathan?

Jonathan Capehart:  It is, again, the first major land war on the European continent in more than 70 years.

As David said, this is now — this is a battle of ideas.  But, as Hillary Clinton and Dan Schwerin write in "The Atlantic" today, this is — what's happening now in Ukraine is much bigger than that.  They write:  "Ukraine is one flash point in a larger global struggle between democracy and autocracy."

And they point out that the day that Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in Beijing, which was February 4, on Friday, was the same day that the Republicans said that the January 6 insurrection was — quote — "legitimate political discourse."

The battle between autocracy and democracy is — has — was a factor in President Biden's presidential campaign, but there on the streets in Ukraine, in the air, where — in terms of the war that Russia is waging on Ukraine, we are seeing right there the battle between democracy and autocracy.

And the fact that the United States and President Biden is leading the alliance to, at a minimum, defend the NATO alliance, but also help the Ukrainian people, shows that everyone takes this seriously.

There was a lot of talk about whether the NATO alliance was going to wither on the vine, whether it could be — could hold together.  And in the face of this war, before the impending war with Vladimir Putin, they have rallied, and they're stronger.  But that battle between democracy and autocracy and having democracy win is not assured, especially because democracy here in the United States is the weakest it's been in memory.

Judy Woodruff:  David, a lot of people watching President Biden very closely because of what happened in Afghanistan.

But what's your assessment of how he has managed this, handled this so far?

David Brooks:  I think quite well.

He's organized the alliance.  For once, we won the information war.  He really leaked all the intelligence.  And it was all vindicated.  Our intelligence community was excellent in predicting what the Russians were going to do.  And they went ahead and did it.  So he did that part well.

He is playing with an extremely weak hand.  Putin is willing to commit troops.  We, wisely, are not — unwilling to commit troops.  That's one disadvantage.

Second, we're unwilling and our European allies are unwilling to impose sanctions that would impose any costs on Putin.  To do this right, we have to go after the Russian economy, which is essentially going after the energy sector.  We're not going to do that because European and American economies don't want to impose any costs on themselves.

So, I think the sanctions are weak.  I think the alliance between Russia and China, which seems to be reasonably strong, is extremely troubling.

The hope I have, and I think the place to focus our efforts and our attention, is on the Ukrainian resistance.  If the Ukrainian resistance, with the help of the west, can make the occupation of Ukraine very costly, then this whole thing does backfire on Putin.

But I would focus on that, rather than, say, the sanctions, which have been symbolic and not nothing, but clearly not strong enough to impose any real costs on the Russians.

Judy Woodruff:  Jonathan, how do you size up the reaction here and in Europe?

Jonathan Capehart:  Well, I would say that, late this afternoon, the United States, United Kingdom and the European Union announced sanctions on Putin and his foreign minister, Lavrov, personally.  So that is a ratcheting up of the pressure on Putin, on Russia.

This is the — I think the third — second round of sanctions.  And there are plenty more things that the United States can do.

I think one thing that everyone should do is to sort of remind — we should remind ourselves that, in a culture that we have, where everything is instantaneous, you order something online, it can be — depending on which service you use, could be at your house in a few hours, but definitely by the next day.

We are talking about war.  And we're talking about responding to war.  And some of the things that have to be done and should be done, the impacts that they have don't — the impacts don't reveal themselves in an hour, in 10 hours, in a day.  They take time.

And I think the more people sort of reorient themselves and realize that some of the things that the United States and the West are doing to put pressure on Putin, to bring this war to a close whenever that can happen, that this takes time, the better off we will be.

Judy Woodruff:  Well, one thing is for sure.  We're going to have a lot of — we're going to be watching a lot of painful scenes in Ukraine, as we watch the Ukrainian people deal with this in the hours and the days to come.

Jonathan Capehart, David Brooks, thank you both.

Jonathan Capehart:  Thanks, Judy.

David Brooks:  Thank you, Judy.



UKRAINE CRISIS - Putin's War

COMMENT:

I wish to apologize to Ukraine and our allies for the United States (again) failing to actually fight for democracy.  When any nation attacks another with tanks, aircraft, troops, and rockets a 'paper' response will NOT stop the attack.  Sanctions did NOT stop Putin and he knew it.

The ONLY response that hand any chance to stop Putin was full sanctions being applied BEFORE he attacked, with a statement that if he DID attack we would follow with a declaration of war.  Sorry, but a military attack requires a military response and we should have taken the risk.

"Putin orders Russian troops into Ukraine’s separatist regions as the West levies sanctionsPBS NewsHour 2/21/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized as independent two separatist regions of Ukraine Monday, and hours later ordered Russian troops to conduct what the Kremlin called a "peacekeeping operation" in those regions.  After Putin's earlier moves, the United States, the United Kingdom, and the European Union all announced targeted sanctions.  Nick Schifrin reports.

 

 

"Putin ‘raised the stakes’ on war in Ukraine.  Will sanctions deter him?PBS NewsHour 2/21/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized as independent two separatist regions of Ukraine Monday, and hours later ordered Russian troops to conduct what the Kremlin called a "peacekeeping operation" in those regions.  After Putin's earlier moves, the United States, the United Kingdom, and the European Union all announced targeted sanctions.  Nick Schifrin reports.

 

 

"U.S., Europe ramp up sanctions on Russia as Ukraine prepares for a broader incursionPBS NewsHour 2/22/2022

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SUMMARY:  President Biden, the European Union, and the United Kingdom all lodged new and harsh sanctions against Russia Tuesday as the Russian parliament authorized Vladimir Putin to further invade Ukraine.  It was an active and urgent day, from Ukraine to Moscow and wider Europe, and to Washington.  Nick Schifrin reports.

 

 

NOTE:  The discussion on harm to Russian economy as a deterrent overlooks the question, does Putin care?  We now know the answer is NO.

"How U.S. sanctions could ‘constrain’ Russia’s economyPBS NewsHour 2/22/2022

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SUMMARY:  We take a closer look at the new sanctions the Biden administration announced Tuesday on Russia and how it could affect the Russian economy.  U.S. Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Wally Adeyemo joins Judy Woodruff to discuss.

 

 

"Will punitive measures against Russia deter a full-scale invasion of Ukraine?PBS NewsHour 2/22/2022

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SUMMARY:  For more on the impact of the new sanctions on Russia and the wider U.S. and European Union reaction to Russia's invasion of Ukraine we get two views.  Stephen Hadley, a former national security adviser during the George W. Bush administration, and Andrew Weiss, who served as director for Russian, Ukrainian, and Eurasian affairs on the National Security Council, join Nick Schifrin to discuss.

 

 

"Ukraine declares state of emergency as U.S. warns Russia is prepared for invasionPBS NewsHour 2/23/2022

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SUMMARY:  The Pentagon said Wednesday that Russia is 80-percent prepared for a full invasion of Ukraine.  That word came as Ukraine put in force a state of emergency, and Moscow said the separatists that Russia backs in eastern Ukraine had asked for Russian military help to fend off what they call "Ukrainian aggression."  Nick Schifrin reports.

 

 

"Russia uses disinformation on Ukraine military aggressions as a pretext for warPBS NewsHour 2/23/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Russia this week claimed Ukraine’s military crossed into Russia and even released a video of an invading tank, while Russian media highlighted supposed attacks inside the self-declared separatist republics.  The U.S. and Ukraine accuse Russia of staging videos to justify an imminent invasion.  Nina Jankowicz, a Wilson Center fellow studying eastern Europe, joins Nick Schifrin to discuss.

 

 

"How U.S. lawmakers are reacting to the escalating Ukraine crisisPBS NewsHour 2/23/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  As the United States on Wednesday warned Ukraine to be prepared for an imminent Russian invasion, we take a look at how U.S. lawmakers are reacting to the latest situation in Ukraine.  Congressional correspondent Lisa Desjardins joins Judy Woodruff to discuss.

 

 

"Russian airstrikes bombard Ukraine as ground forces advancePBS NewsHour 2/24/2022

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SUMMARY:  Russia has launched what U.S. officials describe as the most significant military action in Europe in 77 years.  Across Ukraine, Russia has attacked with airstrikes, missiles and troops.  Ukraine says at least 57 people were killed and dozens wounded as the Russian army heads toward the capital, Kyiv.  Nick Schifrin reports.

 

 

COMMENT:  Too little, too late.

"Biden imposes new sanctions on Russia amid military onslaught in UkrainePBS NewsHour 2/24/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Russia's invasion of Ukraine is testing the Biden administration and President Biden himself, with concerns growing that Russia's goal in Ukraine is to take over the country and evict the government.  Lisa Desjardins joins Judy Woodruff from the White House to discuss developments on both sides of Pennsylvania Avenue.

 

 

"What Russia is hoping to achieve in UkrainePBS NewsHour 2/24/2022

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SUMMARY:  As Russia presses toward Kyiv and the death toll continues to rise across Ukraine, we explore what Moscow's next move may be along with Ukraine's response.  Michael Kofman, senior fellow for Russian studies at the Center for Naval Analyses, joins Nick Schifrin to discuss.

 

 

"As Russia charges across Ukraine, can the West stop a more expansive conflict?PBS NewsHour 2/24/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  For more on Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the U.S. and European reactions we get three views.  Doug Lute, a retired Army Lieutenant General and former U.S. Ambassador to NATO; Andrew Weiss, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; and Angela Stent, a Georgetown University professor, join Judy Woodruff to discuss.

 

 

"How the Biden administration is responding to the Russian incursion in UkrainePBS NewsHour 2/24/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  President Biden on Thursday imposed new sanctions on Russian banks, oligarchs and other strategic sectors after Russian troops entered Ukraine.  But will the U.S. consider even harsher sanctions moving forward and can Congress and U.S. allies in Europe maintain a united front?  State Department spokesperson Ned Price joins Judy Woodruff to discuss the Biden administration's response.

 

 

"Russia begins assault on Kyiv amid fierce fighting across Ukraine as U.S. sanctions PutinPBS NewsHour 2/25/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  The battle for Kyiv appears to be underway, with Russian missiles and airstrikes targeting Ukraine's capital and reports of pitched fighting on its outskirts.  Ukrainian President Zelensnky told the people of Kyiv to prepare for the storming of the city by Russian forces.  This comes as fighting continues in the central, southern, and eastern reaches of Ukraine.  Nick Schifrin reports.

 

 

"NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg on the war in Ukraine: ‘Russia has to pay a high price’PBS NewsHour 2/25/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  The war in Ukraine is bringing Russia more economic pain as the U.S. and some of its NATO allies move to sanction Russian President Vladimir Putin.  NATO members also pledged to bolster the alliance's eastern flank with the movement of additional allied troops.  NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg joins Judy Woodruff from NATO headquarters in Brussels to discuss the escalating war.

 

 

"On the ground in Ukraine: mass exodus, armored helicopters, bomb sheltersPBS NewsHour 2/26/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Fighting intensified in Ukraine today as Russian forces closed in on the capital city of Kyiv and other regions.  Neighboring nation Moldova has declared a state of emergency as tens of thousands of refugees pour into the country; others have chosen to stay in Ukraine and fight.  For an on-the-ground perspective NPR Correspondent Frank Langfitt joins us from western Ukraine.

 

 

"Ukrainians resist attack as countries sanction RussiaPBS NewsHour 2/26/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Special Correspondent Simon Ostrovsky has been covering Ukraine for many years.  In 2019, he interviewed President Zelensky when he was running for office about his foreign policy and strategy on Russia.  Ostrovsky joins Hari Sreenivasan to discuss the ongoing invasion.

 

 

"Sanctions, protests: How Putin’s war is impacting ordinary RussiansPBS NewsHour 2/27/2022

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Hundreds of Russians have been arrested for demonstrating against Ukraine’s invasion across the country.  Meanwhile, sanctions aimed at crippling Russia’s economy are slowly having an impact: the ruble is fluctuating, people are queuing up outside ATMs and prices are rising.  Anton Troianovski, Moscow Bureau Chief of the New York Times, joins.

 

 

"Fighting continues in Ukraine as hundreds of thousands fleePBS NewsHour 2/27/2022

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SUMMARY:  Fighting in Ukraine continues as thousands of young people join the resistance against Russian troops.  Meanwhile, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians are fleeing to neighboring countries.  President Volodomyr Zelensky has agreed to hold peace talks with Moscow at the Ukraine-Belarus border.  Yaroslav Trofimov, Chief Foreign affairs Correspondent, Wall Street Journal joins from Kyiv.



Monday, August 13, 2018

SPY GAMES - Russian Double-Agent Attack Blow-Back

"What new U.S. sanctions for Skripal attack say to Russia" PBS NewsHour 8/9/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  The Trump administration on Wednesday announced new sanctions on Russia in response to Moscow’s use of a nerve agent on a former Russian double-agent and his daughter earlier this year in Britain.  Russia has denied any involvement.  William Brangham gets reaction from former State Department official Daniel Fried.

Monday, April 09, 2018

TRUMP WHITE HOUSE - The Spin Factory

"At White House, talk of China tariffs, Russian sanctions, and Pruitt under fire" PBS NewsHour 4/6/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  On a day when President Trump ordered the U.S. trade representative to consider an additional $100 billion in tariffs on Chinese goods, and the administration announced sanctions against Russian government officials and tycoons, the President also seems to be pondering the fate of embattled EPA administrator Scott Pruitt.  Yamiche Alcindor joins Judy Woodruff for a recap.




"New round of U.S. sanctions target Putin-connected oligarchs, officials" PBS NewsHour 4/6/2018

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SUMMARY:  The Trump administration announced new sanctions to punish Russia for "malign activity" around the world, targeting 24 Russian government officials and tycoons.  John Yang speaks to special correspondent Ryan Chilcote about what makes the latest round different from previous actions and whether they will put pressure on President Vladimir Putin.

Monday, March 19, 2018

WAR WITH RUSSIA - Do Sanctions Work?

"U.S. uses sanctions to strike back at Russia for 2016 election meddling" PBS NewsHour 3/15/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  The Trump administration officially moved to punish Russia for cyberattacks and election meddling in the U.S. and Europe by imposing sanctions against 19 Russians -- 13 of whom have been indicted in special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation.  That word came as officials also accused Moscow of a sweeping campaign to disrupt key industries.  Judy Woodruff reports.




"Do the U.S. sanctions against Russia have any bite?" PBS NewsHour 3/15/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  U.S. sanctions targeting 19 Russians is the strongest response to Moscow's interference in the 2016 election and other campaigns and cyberattacks since President Trump took office.  Judy Woodruff talks with Michael McFaul, former U.S. Ambassador to Russia, about whether the sanctions have any bite any what they say about U.S.-Russia relations.

Monday, February 05, 2018

TRUMP AGENDA - Hiding Wealthy Russians

"Why the U.S. is naming wealthy Russians with ties to Putin" PBS NewsHour 1/30/2018

Well, Putin got some of what he 'paid' Trump to do.

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  The Trump administration says it won’t impose any of the sanctions that Congress overwhelmingly voted to level at Russia for meddling in the 2016 U.S. elections.  Part of the measure directed the Treasury Department to compile a list of Russian figures in an effort to "name and shame" them.  John Yang talks to Andrew Weiss of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace about that list and more.

Monday, September 25, 2017

NORTH KOREA - New Sanctions

"What will new U.S. sanctions mean for North Korea?" PBS NewsHour 9/21/2017

Trump 'diplomacy' is a bloody baseball bat.  The tool of a bully.

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  After President Trump signed new sanctions against North Korea on Thursday, Kim Jong Un called him “deranged” and said the President will “pay dearly” for his threats.  Judy Woodruff talks with David Cohen, former Deputy Director of the CIA and an Undersecretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence at the Treasury Department, about what new sanctions mean and how other countries will respond.

Monday, July 10, 2017

NORTH KOREA - Verses the United States

"U.S. calls for global diplomatic effort to punish and sway North Korea" PBS NewsHour 7/5/2017

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  North Korea's Tuesday missile launch crossed the intercontinental threshold the U.S. had been hoping to prevent.  At the U.N. Security Council on Wednesday, the U.S. tried to rally the world to punish and isolate the regime.  Meanwhile, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un insisted he will never negotiate away his missile and nuclear programs.  Nick Schifrin reports on the American response so far.



"Could new economic pressure change North Korea’s ambitions?" PBS NewsHour 7/5/2017

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  When it comes to facing the threat of North Korea, there are no easy answers and few good options.  Could new economic sanctions change the trajectory of the country’s?  Judy Woodruff gets views from John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago, and David S. Cohen a former CIA and Treasury Department official.

Monday, May 01, 2017

TRUMP AGENDA - North Korea, Next?

"Tensions rising, what's U.S.'s next move on North Korea?" PBS NewsHour 4/28/2017

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said at the U.N. Security Council that it's time for "painful" new sanctions to make North Korea give up its nuclear and missile programs.  His statement comes amid rising tension between the Trump administration and the Asian nation, and word of a ballistic missile test.  Judy Woodruff talks with former State Department officials John Merrill and Balbina Hwang.

Monday, February 20, 2017

TRUMP AGENDA - Ukraine Sanctions Plan or Giveaway?

"Advisers develop plan for Russia, Ukraine" by MEGAN TWOHEY & SCOTT SHANE, San Diego Union-Tribune 2/20/2017

NOTE:  This is from the online version of the newspaper, therefore no article link.


Trump associates forge proposal to solve conflict between nations

A week before Michael Flynn resigned as national security adviser, a sealed proposal was hand-delivered to his office, outlining a way for President Donald Trump to lift sanctions against Russia.

Flynn is gone, having been caught lying about his own discussion of sanctions with the Russian ambassador.  But the proposal, a peace plan for Ukraine and Russia, remains, along with those pushing it: Michael Cohen, the president's personal lawyer, who delivered the document; Felix H. Sater, a business associate who helped Trump scout deals in Russia; and a Ukrainian lawmaker trying to rise in a political opposition movement shaped in part by Trump's former campaign manager Paul Manafort.

At a time when Trump's ties to Russia, and the people connected to him, are under heightened scrutiny — with investigations by U.S. intelligence agencies, the FBI and Congress — some of his associates remain willing and eager to wade into Russia-related efforts behind the scenes.

Trump has confounded Democrats and Republicans alike with his repeated praise for the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, and his desire to forge a U.S.-Russian alliance.  While there is nothing illegal about such unofficial efforts, a proposal that seems to tip toward Russian interests may set off alarms.

The amateur diplomats say their goal is simply to help settle a grueling, three-year conflict that has cost 10,000 lives.  “Who doesn't want to help bring about peace?” Cohen asked.

But the proposal contains more than just a peace plan.  Andrey Artemenko, the Ukrainian lawmaker, who sees himself as a Trump-style leader of a future Ukraine, claims to have evidence — “names of companies, wire transfers” — showing corruption by the Ukrainian president, Petro Poroshenko, that could help oust him.  And Artemenko said he had received encouragement for his plans from top aides to Putin.

“A lot of people will call me a Russian agent, a U.S. agent, a CIA agent,” Artemenko said.  “But how can you find a good solution between our countries if we do not talk?”

Cohen and Sater said they had not spoken to Trump about the proposal, and have no experience in foreign policy.  Cohen is one of several Trump associates under scrutiny in an FBI counterintelligence examination of links with Russia, according to law enforcement officials; he has denied any illicit connections.

The two others involved in the effort have somewhat questionable pasts: Sater, 50, a Russian-American, pleaded guilty to a role in a stock manipulation scheme decades ago that involved organized crime.  Artemenko spent 2 1/2 years in jail in Kiev in the early 2000s on embezzlement charges, later dropped, which he said had been politically motivated.

While it is unclear if the White House will take the proposal seriously, the diplomatic freelancing has infuriated Ukrainian officials.  Ukraine's ambassador to the U.S., Valeriy Chaly, said Artemenko “is not entitled to present any alternative peace plans on behalf of Ukraine to any foreign government, including the U.S. administration.”

At a security conference in Munich on Friday, Poroshenko warned the West against “appeasement” of Russia, and some U.S. experts say offering Russia any alternative to a 2-year-old international agreement on Ukraine would be a mistake.  The Trump administration has sent mixed signals about the conflict in Ukraine.

But given Trump's praise for Putin, John Herbst, a former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, said he feared the new President might be too eager to mend relations with Russia at Ukraine's expense — potentially with a plan like Artemenko's.

The FBI is reviewing an unverified dossier, compiled by a former British intelligence agent and funded by Trump's political opponents, that claims Cohen met with a Russian representative in Prague during the presidential campaign to discuss Russia's hacking of Democratic targets.  But the Russian official named in the report told The New York Times that he had never met Cohen.  Cohen insists that he has never visited Prague and that the dossier's assertions are fabrications.

Cohen has a personal connection to Ukraine: He is married to a Ukrainian woman and once worked with relatives there to establish an ethanol business.

Before entering politics, Artemenko had business ventures in the Middle East and real estate deals in the Miami area, and had worked as an agent representing top Ukrainian athletes.  Some colleagues in Parliament describe him as corrupt, untrustworthy or simply insignificant, but he appears to have amassed considerable wealth.

He has fashioned himself in the image of Trump, presenting himself as Ukraine's answer to a rising class of nationalist leaders in the West.  He even traveled to Cleveland last summer for the Republican National Convention, seizing on the chance to meet with members of Trump's campaign.

“It's time for new leaders, new approaches to the governance of the country, new principles and new negotiators in international politics,” he wrote on Facebook on Jan. 27.  “Our time has come!”

Artemenko said he saw in Trump an opportunity to advocate a plan for peace in Ukraine — and help advance his own political career.  Essentially, his plan would require the withdrawal of all Russian forces from eastern Ukraine.  Ukrainian voters would decide in a referendum whether Crimea, the Ukrainian territory seized by Russia in 2014, would be leased to Russia for a term of 50 or 100 years.

The Ukrainian ambassador, Chaly, rejected a lease of that kind.  “It is a gross violation of the constitution,” he said in written answers to questions from The Times.  “Such ideas can be pitched or pushed through only by those openly or covertly representing Russian interests.”

The reaction suggested why Artemenko's project also includes the dissemination of “kompromat,” or compromising material, purportedly showing that Poroshenko and his closest associates are corrupt.  Only a new government, presumably one less hostile to Russia, might take up his plan.

Sater, a longtime business associate of Trump's with connections in Russia, was willing to help Artemenko's proposal reach the White House.

Trump has sought to distance himself from Sater in recent years.  If Sater “were sitting in the room right now,” Trump said in a 2013 deposition, “I really wouldn't know what he looked like.”

But Sater worked on real estate development deals with the Trump Organization on and off for at least a decade, even after his role in the stock manipulation scheme came to light.

Cohen said he was waiting for a response to the proposal when Flynn was forced from his post.  Now he, Sater and Artemenko are hoping a new national security adviser will take up their cause.  On Friday the President wrote on Twitter that he had four candidates for the job.

They trekked to Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida for in-person interviews this weekend.  They were: Army strategist Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster, former United Nations Ambassador John Bolton, acting national security adviser Keith Kellogg, and West Point superintendent Lt. Gen. Robert Caslen.

Officials said it was possible others could be added to the list, and candidates could return for follow-up interviews today.  One name that had been floated was ruled out: former CIA Director David Petraeus.

“I have many, many that want the job,” Trump insisted this weekend as he promised reporters a decision within days.

Trump's initial choice, though, retired Navy Vice Adm.  Robert Harward, has already turned him down.

Harward, a onetime Navy SEAL who is a senior executive at Lockheed Martin, has cited family and financial considerations in turning down the job.  But news reports suggested that Harward rejected the post because he feared insufficient control over key staffing decisions, including the right to choose his own deputy.

Twohey and Shane write for The New York Times.  The Los Angeles Times contributed to this report.

Monday, February 06, 2017

IRAN - Trump Sanctions

"Will new sanctions and statements escalate tensions with Iran?" PBS NewsHour 2/3/2017

HUMM....  I have to wonder is this Trump really understanding the issue, or Trump-the-bully exercising his muscle?

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  New U.S. sanctions were applied to people and companies tied to Iran's ballistic missile program.  The National Security Adviser released a statement saying that the international community has been "too tolerant of Iran's bad behavior" and that the administration wouldn't tolerate "provocations."  Hari Sreenivasan talks to Karim Sadjadpour of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

JUDY WOODRUFF (NewsHour):  As we reported earlier, the Trump administration applied new sanctions today to more than a dozen people and companies tied to Iran's ballistic missile program.

Hari Sreenivasan has more.

HARI SREENIVASAN (NewsHour):  The White House says the sanctions are not related to the nuclear deal, and structured in a way that maintains the U.S.' commitments to that agreement.

At the same time, the national security adviser, Michael Flynn, also released a statement today, saying — quote — “The international community has been too tolerant of Iran's bad behavior.  The ritual of convening a United Nations Security Council in an emergency meeting and issuing a strong statement is not enough.  The Trump administration will no longer tolerate Iran's provocations that threaten our interests.”

Joining me now for what the new sanctions and statements mean going forward is Karim Sadjadpour of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Karim, let's start by putting this in context.

Who do these sanctions affect and what are they going to be prohibited from doing?

KARIM SADJADPOUR, Carnegie Endowment For International Peace:  Hari, these sanctions are very targeted against individuals and entities that are affiliated or part of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, who are involved in Iran's missile program and Iran's support for regional militias.

And they're very targeted.  They're not broad sanctions which are intended to really change Iranian behavior.  But I do think they're intended to do what General Flynn, the national security adviser, said, which is to put Iran “on notice” — quote, unquote.

HARI SREENIVASAN:  How different are they from steps that perhaps the Obama administration would have taken had they seen this ballistic missile test happen on their watch?

KARIM SADJADPOUR:  You know, the Obama administration was reluctant to sanction Iran and counter its regional behavior because they were very worried that would provoke an escalation which would jeopardize the nuclear deal, which was the Obama administration's main foreign policy legacy.

And the Trump administration doesn't have those concerns.  President Trump has routinely denounced the Iran nuclear deal as a disaster.  And I think, in contrast to the Obama administration, the Trump administration's national security brain trust, men like General Flynn, General Mattis at the Pentagon, these were men who served in Iraq, and they hold Iran responsible for the death of hundreds of U.S. soldiers.

And so they felt, during the Obama years, that they were restrained from being able to retaliate against Iran.  And now they feel unrestrained and they're confronting Iran in the region.

Monday, January 25, 2016

IRAN DEALS - The New vs Old Sanctions

"New Iran sanctions appear as old sanctions lift for nuclear deal compliance" PBS NewsHour 1/18/2016

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Many sweeping sanctions ended with the news that Iran's nuclear program has complied with a landmark agreement.  But a new round of limited sanctions were announced Sunday in response to an October missile test that violated a United Nations ban.  In addition, Iran released four Iranian-Americans in a trade for seven Iranians held in the U.S. Hari Sreenivasan reports.

HARI SREENIVASAN (NewsHour):  The new sanctions aimed at Iran’s ballistic missile program sparked fresh criticism from Tehran, after a weekend of milder words.

HOSSEIN JABERI ANSARI, Spokesman, Iranian Foreign Ministry (through interpreter):  The Islamic republic of Iran, as it has made clear in the past, will respond to such acts of propaganda and harassment by following its legitimate missile program more seriously and boosting its defensive and national security capabilities.

HARI SREENIVASAN:  The limited sanctions announced Sunday followed a missile test in October that violated a United Nations ban.  Far more sweeping sanctions are ending, after Saturday’s announcement that Iran’s nuclear program has complied with a landmark agreement.

President Obama hailed the accord’s formal implementation in a Sunday appearance at the White House.

PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA:  Under the nuclear deal that we, our allies and partners reached with Iran last year, Iran will not get its hands on a nuclear bomb.

HARI SREENIVASAN:  Under the agreement, Iranian technicians removed the reactor core at the Arak nuclear site, effectively ending its production of plutonium for a possible weapon.  The regime also cut the number of centrifuges at its Fordow and Natanz sites for enriching uranium.  And it shipped tons of low-enriched uranium materials to Russia.

As the nuclear deal came to full power, Iran released four imprisoned Iranian-Americans.  They include Washington Post reporter Jason Rezaian, former U.S. Marine Amir Hekmati, and Pastor Saeed Abedini.  Rezaian, Hekmati and Abedini are now undergoing physical and psychological evaluations at the U.S. military’s Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany.  Family members gathered there today to be reunited.

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

RUSSIA - EU and US Sanctions

"Russia’s response to MH17 crash shifts EU attitudes on sanctions" PBS NewsHour 7/29/2014

Excerpt

JUDY WOODRUFF (NewsHour):  To help make sense of today’s developments, our chief foreign affairs correspondent, Margaret Warner, joins us.

So, Margaret, tell us more about what these sanctions do.

MARGARET WARNER (NewsHour):  Broadly, Judy, what they try to do is hobble the Russians’ access to both capital and technology in these three key areas, arms, energy and finance.

So, for instance, let’s just take finance.  Now — by now, five of the six state-owned Russian banks basically will have no access to medium- and long-term capital or debt, and since they get almost 100 percent of it from U.S. and Western sources, as one U.S. official said today, they’re essentially going to have to shut down.

Private banks aren’t being touched.  If you take the arms area, again, they’re going to use export license restrictions to prevent future sales of arms to Russia.  And in the energy sector, they’re going to use export license restrictions to prevent Western companies from giving the Russians access to future technologies, particularly in deep water and in shale gas, because the key thing here is, Judy, nothing will interfere here with current projects, whether it’s BP or ExxonMobil in the energy field, the French selling its warships.

What they’re trying to do as much as possible is not hit Western businesses too hard, but make it clear to the Russians that future investments is really going to be crippled.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

UKRAINE - The Russian Attempted Takeover in the East

"Street violence erupts in Eastern Ukraine as U.S. announces sanctions on Putin allies" (Part-1) PBS NewsHour 4/28/2014

GWEN IFILL (NewsHour):  Tensions in Eastern Ukraine spilled over into more violence today, as the Obama administration announced additional sanctions on Russian leaders and companies with close ties to President Putin.

Lindsey Hilsum of Independent Television News has this report.

LINDSEY HILSUM, Independent Television News:  Tonight, those who support Ukraine held a march in the eastern town of Donetsk, protected, supposedly, by the police.

But pro-Russian thugs soon disrupted the rally, beating up demonstrators with batons and stones.  Several were injured, and the demonstrators forced to flee.  Those agitating in favor of Russia deny they’re doing Moscow’s bidding, but the U.S. government sees President Putin’s hand, and today imposed further sanctions on some of the Russian leader’s closest friends.

Seventeen organizations or companies are sanctioned, including some controlled by Putin associates Gennady Timchenko, a billionaire, and Arkady Rotenberg, his old judo partner and childhood friend.

Amongst the seven individuals sanctioned are Dmitry Kozak, the deputy prime minister of the Russian Federation, and Igor Sechin, the president of Rosneft, the world’s largest traded oil company.

Sechin, one of President Putin’s closest advisers, is sanctioned as an individual, but it’s hard to separate the man from the company, Rosneft.  Here he is a year ago with the head of BP, Bob Dudley.

ROBERT DUDLEY, BP:  Ladies and gentlemen, it’s great for me to welcome Igor Ivanovich here at BP today.  And I think this is the beginning today of a great partnership between BP and Rosneft.

LINDSEY HILSUM:  BP has a 20 percent stake in Rosneft, to which it said today it remained committed.  Rosneft said the sanctions wouldn’t affect cooperation with its partners, but the company share price dropped, as did its credit rating.

In the city of Kharkiv today, the deputy mayor was shot in the back.  As Ukraine grows more lawless, the E.U. is to announce further sanctions on Russia tomorrow.  Europe is one step behind the U.S. because of its closer economic ties to Russia, but they’re trying to give an impression of unity.

Earlier today, Kostiantynivk became the latest town to join the Balaclava Republic, as pro-Russian demonstrators took over the local administration building.  Western sanctions may be hurting some Russian individuals, but there’s no sign that they are deterring President Putin from continuing to stir it up in Ukraine.


"U.S. sanctions Putin’s friends and advisors to force ‘clear choice’ on Ukraine" (Part-2) PBS NewsHour 4/28/2014

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  The Obama administration has announced additional sanctions on Russian officials and key companies with close ties to President Putin to persuade Moscow to diffuse tensions in Ukraine.  Deputy National Security Advisor Tony Blinken joins Gwen Ifill to discuss the strategy behind these new sanctions, their potential to hurt U.S. companies and the prospect of further sanctions still in reserve.

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

IRAN - Sanctions' Tangible Consequences

"Economic sanctions have tangible consequences for average Iranians" PBS Newshour 2/10/2014

Excerpt

WILLIAM BRANGHAM (Newshour):  One of the first things you notice when you come to Tehran is the air.  A thick blanket of smog hovers over the city most winter days, especially when the winds don’t blow.  Many believe this pollution is yet another way Western sanctions are impacting Iran.

Of course, Tehran is a busy and congested place, so it’s had pollution for years.  But a few years ago, when sanctions squeezed Iran’s ability to import refined gas, the government began refining its own much dirtier gas.  Since then, the country’s air quality has worsened.  The World Health Organization says Iran’s air is often dirtier than Shanghai’s.  Face masks are a regular sight on the streets.

According to The New York Times — quote — “Iran’s Health Ministry has reported a rise in respiratory and heart diseases, as well as an increase in a variety of cancers that it says are related to pollution.”

In other ways, the impact of international sanctions on Iran isn’t so visible.  Tehran’s stores are full.  Shoppers are out in force.  And many Western goods are available for those who can afford them.  This electronics mall in downtown Tehran carries every latest laptop, iPad and mobile device imaginable.

But talk to middle-class Iranians on the streets, and you start to hear a different story.

HAMID AKHLAGI, Small business owner (through interpreter):  People are walking around, but few are actually spending.

WILLIAM BRANGHAM:  Shopkeeper Hamid Akhlagi, who runs a small store in the Tajrish market in Tehran, says, while things may look fine on the surface, he and his customers are reeling from another one of the main effects sanctions have had on Iran, skyrocketing inflation, now estimated by many economists to be over 30 percent.

Prices for everyday staples of the Iranian diet, things like chicken and rice, have risen dramatically, in part because of sanctions.

Akhlagi says the cost of goods in his store never seem to stop going up.  One example: A single bar of Dove soap used to cost about 60 cents.  Two years later, it’s almost $2.