Showing posts with label U.S. allies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.S. allies. Show all posts

Monday, July 30, 2018

TRUMP AGENDA - His Trade War

"Sen. Sasse: U.S. needs more trade, not ‘bellicose threatening’" PBS NewsHour 7/24/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  The Trump administration moved on Tuesday to mitigate for U.S. farmers the economic damage of the President's escalating trade war with allies and China, announcing $12 billion in emergency relief.  Sen. Ben Sasse (R-Neb) says that whenever you’re having a trade war, something is going wrong.  “When there’s more trade in the world, Americans win.”  Sasse joins Judy Woodruff for more.

Monday, July 23, 2018

OPINION - Shields and Salam 7/20/2018

"Shields and Salam on Trump-Putin summit aftershocks" PBS NewsHour 7/20/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Syndicated columnist Mark Shields and National Review Executive Editor Reihan Salam join Judy Woodruff to discuss the week’s news, including the fallout from President Trump’s summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin in U.S. politics and the NATO alliance, plus news that the President has raised almost $90 million toward his re-election.

Judy Woodruff (NewsHour):  We return now to the turbulent aftermath of President Trump’s meeting with Vladimir Putin.

For more, we have the analysis of Shields and Salam.  That’s syndicated columnist Mark Shields and “National Review” executive editor Reihan Salam.  David Brooks is away.

Welcome to both of you.

Mark, it has been a turbulent, turmoilish week, from NATO to Great Britain, to the meeting with Vladimir Putin, back to Washington.

What are we left with?

Mark Shields, syndicated columnist:  We’re left with, Judy, a week of — I think a blow to the United States of America.

I don’t think there’s any question about it, to our leadership, the fraying of the relations with our longtime allies, a dismissal, almost a disparagement by the American President of democratically elected leaders, and the messy problems that democracy requires, an adulation, a flattery, a giant sucking sound in the company of the Russian dictator by the President’s part.

And Dan Balz, perhaps as respected writer as there is on politics in America, wrote:  “When the setting called for a show of strength and resolve, Trump instead offered deference, defensiveness, equivocation and weakness.”

And I think that’s fair.

Judy Woodruff:  Do you have as dark an assessment, Reihan?

Reihan Salam, National Review:  Well, I think it’s helpful to take some perspective.

Consider President Trump’s meeting with Kim Jong-un of North Korea.  Kim Jong-un is an absolutely brutal, awful dictator.  Donald Trump had very warm words for him.

Some weeks later, Mike Pompeo, the secretary of state, then met with the North Korean regime.  And then the North Korean regime responded by saying, they’re making gangster-like demands, they’re taking this much more hard-line position.

Donald Trump, when it comes to offering warm words for authoritarian leaders, does a lot, goes a long way in ways that other Republicans feel makes them very uncomfortable.  But he is a minority of one in his own administration when it comes to those warm words.  And when it comes to actual substance, you see a much tougher line.

If you look at Pompeo, if you look at Jim Mattis, if you look at John Bolton, these are all people who have taken a consistently hawkish line.

And the President himself, he reversed himself.  Again, that’s quite unusual, for him to have reversed himself so quickly, because Republicans were foursquare behind this idea that, no, in fact, they also — Republicans in Congress passed legislation, bipartisan legislation, keep in mind, that says that they can impose sanctions that the President of the United States can’t reverse.

That is legislation that Donald Trump signed in 2017.  So that’s important background to keep in mind.

Judy Woodruff:  So, Mark Shields, are we making too much of the — too much of the words of President Trump?

Mark Shields:  No.

I mean, he is the policy-maker.  He is the face and the voice of the United States of America.  Every President has been.  Ronald Reagan was when he said, tear down that wall and called the Soviet Union an evil empire.  Donald Trump is when he stands there and contradicts the unanimous judgment of all the men and women who are professionals in the United States intelligence services, who have concluded unanimously that Russia, Russia was behind the meddling, cyber-attacks, and continues to be at this time, and stands there and says — pays the ultimate compliment.

You can talk about his words.  We know his words.  In his lexicon, the lexicon of Donald Trump, there are no greater compliments than to say strong and powerful.  And what did he — whom did he call?  To call anybody weak is the ultimate insult.

And he paid the ultimate compliment to Mr. Putin, as he stood there, in refusing to endorse and support the work of the American intelligence professionals in public.

We have never seen a situation like that before.  No American President has ever done it.

Reihan Salam:  There was a fascinating moment during that press conference, where President Putin had to say, President Trump continues to say that the annexation of Crimea was illegal.

President Putin actually reminded the global public of this.  Why did he do that?  That’s a really puzzling question.  Right?  You would think that would be President Trump who would be saying that, who would be taking that kind of stern step of reminding the wider global audience of the differences between them.

Judy Woodruff:  I think that got overlooked.

Reihan Salam:  And one of the reasons why President Putin did that is because he recognizes that Donald Trump alone doesn’t represent the American government in its entirety.

What has happened is that Republicans are more unified against Vladimir Putin.  Democrats are far more inclined to take a hard line against Russia than they had been before Donald Trump came into office.

Vladimir Putin knows that, for his purposes, this wasn’t a victory.  It was in fact a defeat, because Donald Trump, his style of negotiating is, regrettably, one in which he says a lot at one point, but then his administration takes very sharply different action.

If anything, we’re going to get a more hawkish line on Russia in the months to come.

Judy Woodruff:  So, Mark, I mean, I will ask it again.

(CROSSTALK)

Judy Woodruff:  Go ahead.

Mark Shields:  Where was the defeat?  Where was the — it was a defeat for Putin?

Reihan Salam:  Absolutely.  Absolutely, because what Vladimir Putin wants is to get some component of the bipartisan establishment reconciled to the idea of a warmer relation with Russia.

In fact, we got the exact opposite.  Donald Trump himself on the flight on Air Force One back home from Helsinki realized that this didn’t play especially well with the people he depends on to shield him from investigations and much else.

He understood the tremendous vulnerability.  He understands that there are people in his own administration who may well leave that administration and leave him in a more vulnerable position if he moves in that direction.

And, again, look to North Korea.

Judy Woodruff:  That says — but what you’re saying is that — is that there was a mass created that required a lot of cleaning up.

Reihan Salam:  And, also, remember the North Korea precedent.

Remember the fact that these — we’re talking about this as though it’s unprecedented.  Donald Trump praised the North Korean dictator.  And then North Korea suddenly realized, wait a second, that doesn’t amount to us getting everything we want.

Mark Shields:  Donald Trump has told us that nuclear arms are gone from the Korean Peninsula.

Reihan Salam:  Which is nonsensical.

Mark Shields:  Nonsensical, nonsensical.

Reihan Salam:  But, of course, that’s not what he said, right?  He didn’t say the weapons are gone.

What he says, I’m committed to denuclearization.  Now, that doesn’t mean what the North Koreans believe it means, right?  There’s room for interpretation.  And what we have seen is actually a more hawkish posture in the weeks since then.

So it’s very important to keep these precedents in mind before we claim that this is going to be some grand breakthrough.

Mark Shields:  At what point do we get this seismograph or this magic detector that — with two box tops and a coupon, that allows us to tell when he’s telling the truth?

When he stands there and says Kim Jong-un loves his people, loves his people, this is a man who has killed thousands of Koreans, who has starved…

(CROSSTALK)

Reihan Salam:  It’s absolutely appalling.

And it’s also the case that the U.S. government and the Trump administration didn’t, in fact, give away the store.

This is absolutely rattling.  It is wrong for the President of the United States to appear to the be kowtowing to the Russian president.  It’s also important to recognize, however, that Donald Trump styles himself as an unconventional figure, someone who is actually seeking diplomatic break breakthroughs, diplomatic breakthroughs that I do not believe are going to materialize.

Judy Woodruff:  But, Reihan, you’re saying, for all the fuss we’re making over the behavior, the words of President Trump, in the end, the policy is going to turn out all right?  Is that what you’re saying?

Reihan Salam:  What I’m saying is that the words are dangerous.  It is wrong.  It is disorienting.  And it’s something that is actually sapping some of the trust that people have in him.

I think that that’s not a good thing.  But the policy is moving in a different direction.

Mark Shields:  There’s no question that he was overmatched with Putin.  I mean, there’s no question who was the supplicant in that relationship.

There’s no question who was the big dog and who was the puppy seeking the approval.  And the reality, when you come back — and I don’t know when this epiphany occurred, that he realized things hadn’t worked out, because it didn’t occur — they had to sit down with him.  They had to confront him in his own administration before he would even acknowledge, begrudgingly, two letters.

That didn’t change that the United States was at fault, that he blamed his own country, that he blamed America first.  No American President has ever done that before.

But when you get verbs like revise, revamp, contradict, change, modify, those are not the words of a thoughtful leader or a strong leader, or a principled leader.

Those are the words of somebody who really is overmatched in a public situation.

Reihan Salam:  What they might also be, however, are the words of someone who has promised diplomatic breakthroughs and change.

Now, this something that is very rattling for those of us, myself very much included, who believe that the architecture of our existing alliances is enormously valuable.  But, again, Donald Trump believes that, by shaking things up, he is going to bring us to a better place.

Now, it happens that members of his own administration are deeply skeptical about that posture.  And that is actually the substance of what we’re getting.

President Trump doesn’t have the power to reverse sanctions.  That is exactly what Putin wants.  And he’s not going to get it.  And he’s less likely to get it now than two weeks ago.

Mark Shields:  Let me just ask one question.

Reihan Salam:  Please.

Mark Shields:  Do you think that, after 9/11, when Dan Coats was the United States Ambassador to Germany, and he stood with Gerhard Schroeder, the chancellor of Germany, at the Brandenburg Gate, and thanked 200,000 Germans for their supporting the United States in its hour of need after the 9/11 attack, and invoked — in voting to invoke Article 5 of NATO to support United States and its attack, do you think Donald Trump has any idea that happened?

Reihan Salam:  I think…

Mark Shields:  Do you think he any idea that Dan Coats even was there?

I mean, this is a man who…

Reihan Salam:  I believe it’s worth mentioning that Gerhard Schroeder ran an explicitly anti-American political campaign that, during that time, members of the NATO alliance, including Turkey, said that we will not allow the United States to enter Iraq via our territory.

That was a period of enormous fractiousness within the NATO alliance.  And NATO survived and proved resilient.  That is also important to remember.

Dan Coats is a loyal public servant who deserves a great deal of credit, but let’s not forget history.

Mark Shields:  Do you think Donald Trump is aware of any of this?

Reihan Salam:  I can’t say, Mark.

(CROSSTALK)

Mark Shields:  You’re an informed person, Reihan.

Reihan Salam:  What I can say is that the NATO alliance has survived much worse than that.

Judy Woodruff:  I think — I think temperatures are rising all around this week.

Mark Shields:  OK.  All right.

Monday, July 16, 2018

TRUMP DIPLOMACY - Undermining Prime Minister May


Picture worth 1000 words


"How will Trump’s undermining of May play out in British politics?" PBS NewsHour 7/13/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  President Trump lobbed a volley of verbal grenades at British Prime Minister Theresa May in a tabloid interview before he arrived in the UK, saying May had botched Brexit and praising the former foreign secretary as a potential Prime Minister.  Special correspondent Ryan Chilcote joins Judy Woodruff from London to discuss the fallout from the visit.

TRUMP AGENDA - Disrespect American Allies and Kiss Our Enemies




"Trump sets combative tone at NATO with attacks on allies" PBS NewsHour 7/11/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  It's supposed to be a gathering of friends, but at certain moments, today's NATO summit sounded anything but friendly.  President Trump's rhetoric on German energy sources and allied military spending set a combative tone.  Still, NATO officials insist Trump's criticisms won't impact NATO's day-to-day operations.  Judy Woodruff talks with Yamiche Alcindor and special correspondent Ryan Chilcote.




"How Trump’s ‘bullying’ approach might affect NATO" PBS NewsHour 7/11/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  President Trump kicked off the NATO summit with fierce criticism of Germany and other top American allies.  Will his aggressive approach yield his policy objectives, including increased spending on defense?  Judy Woodruff talks with former State Department official Victoria Nuland and John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago for analysis of Trump's tactics and the state of the NATO alliance.





"Kasich: Trump’s ‘wrecking ball diplomacy’ causing deep resentment among vital allies" PBS NewsHour 7/12/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio criticized President Donald Trump on Thursday for engaging in “wrecking ball diplomacy” at the NATO Summit in Brussels.  “We go in, we stir everything up,” said Kasich.

Trump set a combative tone at the summit, slamming United States ally Germany as being “totally controlled” by Russia and admonishing world leaders to increase their military spending.

In an interview with the PBS NewsHour’s anchor and managing editor Judy Woodruff, Kasich — who ran against Trump in the 2016 Republican presidential primaries — slammed the President’s performance at the summit, joining a chorus of critics who raised questions about Trump’s commitment to U.S. allies and NATO overall.

Trump is “not using the diplomacy that I think strengthens us,” Kasich said, adding: “The resentment is growing, and there is a question of trust.  And that is a problem.”

Monday, May 14, 2018

OPINION - Brooks and Marcus 5/11/2018

"Brooks and Marcus on Trump quitting Iran deal, Gina Haspel grilling" PBS NewsHour 5/11/2018

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  New York Times columnist David Brooks and Washington Post columnist Ruth Marcus join Amna Nawaz to analyze the week’s news, including President Trump’s decision to pull the U.S. out of the Iran nuclear deal, reactions from voters in Elkhart, Indiana, where President Trump held a campaign rally on Thursday, the contentious confirmation hearing of CIA director nominee Gina Haspel and more.

Amna Nawaz (NewsHour):  And now to the analysis of Brooks and Marcus.  That’s New York Times columnist David Brooks and Washington Post columnist Ruth Marcus.

Thanks so much for being here.

Let’s jump in.

Earlier this week, one of the biggest stories, David, obviously, the President making good on his promise to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal.  That’s despite the protest of a lot of U.S. allies.

Politically, was that a smart move?

David Brooks, New York Times:  I think so.

One of the things you notice with the President is that he comes from a background where basically, in the real estate business, he worked with a lot of thugs and he cultivated a lot of thugs, and he was a little thuggish himself.

But, in my view, that helps him, for all his drawbacks, understand thugs.  And so North Korea, he understood that being tough with a thug produces some results.  And we’re in a better situation with North Korea than we were otherwise.

He’s been much tougher on the Chinese in trade.  And a lot of people thinks he’s adopted the right policy, because sometimes you have got to just stand up to people.  And Iran, I have very mixed views about whether Trump did the right thing.

But President Obama, the argument he made for it, which is that Iran would moderate and become a more familiar member of the company of nations.  That has turned out to be clearly false.

They are the most genocidal nation on the face of the earth.  They export violence, terror around the earth.  And so Trump standing up to them at least has some legitimacy.  It’s possible that he understands people like that better than people who have higher SAT scores.

Amna Nawaz:  You wrote in your column this week thug is going to thug.

(LAUGHTER)

Amna Nawaz:  But, Ruth, looking ahead to North Korea now, how do you break from a deal like this one, and then legitimately go into negotiations with North Korea to say, no, we’re going to stick with whatever deal we agree to?

Ruth Marcus, Washington Post:  Kind of a good question.  I have had that question myself.

I think, in general, there’s legitimate questions about the Iran deal, both whether it was the best deal that could have been gotten and whether it had the hope for effect on Iran’s behavior.

But the question really is, is pulling out of it — and I was a supporter of the Iran deal, so despite those concerns.  But even if you weren’t, is pulling out of it better or worse than staying in, and not just because of the impact on Iran?  Because of the impact on our relationships with our allies.

Thug’s going to thug, but we’re not thugs, and we have to continue to maintain decent relations with our allies.  Now we’re talking about threatening them, betraying the agreement that they agreed with, and going after their companies with secondary sanctions.

And then you have this question about, if you have proven that your word as a country can’t be trusted beyond the course of a single President, doesn’t that get priced into the price of negotiating with North Korea?

And he will say, well, yes, you, but, he, Kim Jong-un, yes, you say this, but what happens next time around?  So, giving a little bit less.

So, all in all, I think — you asked about whether it was better for him politically.  He promised it.  It may make his base happy to see him thugging around.  But I think, as a strategic matter of the U.S. national interest, not better.

Monday, September 11, 2017

SOUTH KOREA - Response to Trump's Agenda

"How South Koreans are responding to pressure on North Korea from Trump" PBS NewsHour 9/5/2017

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  South Korea conducted more military drills Tuesday, the latest to deter North Korea after its nuclear test on Sunday.  But there are growing concerns about U.S.-South Korea relations, as President Trump pushes South Korea to get tougher, threatening a trade deal and potentially driving a wedge between the two allies.  William Brangham reports on the tensions rising with the Korean peninsula.

Monday, January 23, 2017

TRUMP AGENDA - Criticizing Allies

"EU nations react with surprise, defiance to Trump remarks" by KIRSTEN GRIESHABER and RAF CASERT (AP) PBS NewsHour 1/16/2017

European Union nations reacted with surprise and defiance Monday to comments by President-elect Donald Trump, who said in an interview that he believed NATO was “obsolete” and that more member states would leave the 28-nation EU.

German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, speaking ahead of an EU foreign ministers meeting, said Trump's view on NATO and criticism that allied members weren't paying their fair share has “caused astonishment.”

His French counterpart Jean-Marc Ayrault added that the best response to such an interview was simple — Europeans uniting.

In Berlin, Chancellor Angela Merkel said Trump's positions have been “long known” but added: “I think we Europeans have our fate in our own hands.”

“I'm personally going to wait until the American President takes office, and then we will naturally work with him on all levels,” she told reporters.

Though Trump had made similar comments during his tempestuous election campaign, a repetition of the same points still came as a bit of a surprise since his choice for Defense Secretary, retired Marine Gen.  James Mattis, stressed his support for the alliance in his U.S. congressional confirmation hearings last week.

Trump's views, in an interview with German daily Bild and The Times of London, contradict Mattis, Steinmeier said.

Trump indicated he was indifferent to whether the EU stays together or not, a sharp break from the Obama administration, which encouraged British people to vote to remain in the EU in the June referendum.

“I believe others will leave … I do think keeping it together is not gonna be as easy as a lot of people think,” Trump said in the interview.

The British exit from the EU would “end up being a great thing,” he said.

British Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson said it's “very good news that the United States of America wants to do a good free trade deal with us and wants to do it very fast.”

Trump was less kind to German industry officials, saying car manufacturers including BMW could face tariffs of up to 35 percent if they set up plants in Mexico instead of in the U.S. and try to export the cars to the U.S.

Such tariffs would make “the American auto industry worse, weaker and more expensive,” Sigmar Gabriel, Germany's economy minister, told Bild.

Gabriel suggested Europeans exhibit more self-confidence in dealing with Trump.  “We're not weak and inferior,” he said.

BMW said Monday that the company would stick to its plans to produce cars in Mexico.

“The production is aimed at the world market,” BMW said, according to the German news agency DPA.  “Therefore the plant in Mexico will complement … the production plants in Germany and China.”


"Why is Trump criticizing key allies to U.S. security?" PBS NewsHour 1/16/2017

Excerpt

SUMMARY:  European officials are digesting new comments by President-elect Trump, who told two newspapers that NATO is obsolete, suggested the U.S. might drop sanctions on Russia and said he is indifferent about the future of the EU.  John Yang gets reaction from Heather Conley of the Center for Strategic, and International Studies and Nicholas Burns the former U.S. Ambassador to NATO.